Guiyang's first batch of car Yaohao indicators released Domino effect or fermentation

According to Voice of China's “News Story” report, “We would like to think for a long time. We study in the house for a long time. Why do you say it in the end? Say it is a lot of cars, fast economic development, or something, not all! They don’t have it. The conditions for studying in Beijing are: first, Beijing Che Duo; first, Beijing, real block; third, there is a procedure for the introduction of Beijing.” The speaker is Dong Yang, executive vice president of the China Automotive Industry Association. Two weeks ago, in the face of the voice of China Voice, he had left such a paragraph. What he constantly mentions and makes him incomprehensible is Guiyang “Limited Order”.

A "blocking" word made Beijing take the lead in implementing the minibus restriction policy at the beginning of this year. Today (26th) will be its 8th numb day. Just as people were still arguing about Beijing's restriction of purchases, the second domino fell: Guiyang Municipal Government's No. 5 decree in Guizhou Province.

The first Yaohao ratio of Guiyang's minibuses is 9:1

A "Limited" word, Guiyang took a stick and fired a second shot. Last night, the number of minibuses in Guiyang City was the first to shake. An average of 9 vehicles competed for 1 vehicle number. This proportion is the same as that in Beijing in January. The reporter witnessed the entire process of the Yaohao at the scene.

“In August 2011, the number one ceremony for the first batch of small buses in Guiyang was officially started. The guests who attended the ceremony today are representatives of the Municipal People’s Congress, representatives of the CPPCC, representatives of the Municipal Supervision Bureau, representatives of the Guizhou University, and Guiyang. The representative of the Public Security Bureau of the Municipal Public Security Police Detachment and the notary of Guiyang Notary Public Office were also invited to the scene.” At 6:00 pm on August 25th, Guiyang City held the first minibus special section in Jinyang New District. The number plate was issued with a shake number, and 1800 numbered lottery codes were generated from the live shakes of 17258 valid application indicators. The entire Yaohao process was broadcast live on TV.

"Today's Yaohao process, first of all, we will ask the notary at the scene to conduct on-site inspections of all the boxes and balls on the spot. After the inspection is correct, we will draw 4 from the site to participate in the Yaohao work for friends; the second step will be to Four friends participated in the job of shaking seeds, and each friend would take one of the seed counts as the first two digits and the last two digits of the five-digit seed, and the middle figure would be used by our enthusiastic citizens and friends on the Internet. A number was chosen by the referral. This ball is 0."

At the scene, the reporter saw that in addition to the public’s selection of five “5” medians through the Internet, four people from the applicant’s representatives and 10 Guiyang City People’s Congress delegates and CPPCC members were randomly selected to participate in the on-site participation. Another four seeds number shake.

Subsequently, three valid numbers were formed from the number of valid application codes, the number of issued cards, and the number of seeds generated from the live shake. Inputs to the computer generated 1800 lottery codes through the program, and citizens could then check on the Internet whether they had won. No winning code is automatically assigned to the next one.

The number of Guiyang City passenger car special section number is 25th each month. Citizens who hold a local account or temporary residence permit and have no vehicle registration in the name can apply for a special section number plate. There is no restriction on the number of special section number driving sections. On-site citizen representatives believe that the Yaohao has been fair, fair, and open, and expressed understanding and support for the purchase restriction order at this stage, but there are still expectations.

Citizen 1: I attended the first hearing. I feel very good. I have read relevant programming. This policy is for Guiyang's traffic at this stage. After a while, the development of Jinyang New District may have this policy and it has its limitations. But it will be adjusted again. I think it will be better.

Citizen 2: I think the whole process is very transparent. I think it is feasible at this stage. In the long run, I think this is not a fundamental solution. The government has solved the problem of public transport and will not buy it if it relaxes it. I really want our public transportation to develop a bit better.

The traffic police detachment responded to the blockage of the “unsuccessful policy” statement Special circumstances Some people say that Guiyang’s urban structure is “Zhongxing Gongyue”. This statement is very poetic, but the "moon", which is the old city center, is a bit overwhelmed. In the 50 days before and after, Guiyang’s new policy of reducing the burden on the “moon” encountered an unprecedented storm of public opinion.

On July 11th, Guiyang Municipal Government issued the Interim Regulations on the Administration of Number Plates of Passenger Cars, which stipulates that from the second day onwards, restrictions on the number of newly-branded minibuses driven within a certain urban area shall be restricted; on the night of July 11, and Beijing In the same year, Guiyang's auto market staged "final madness". Its sales in one night exceeded 5 times on weekdays. On July 19, there were media reports and relevant officials from the National Development and Reform Commission made it clear: "This move in Guiyang does not meet the "Auto Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan." , does not advocate the implementation of purchase restrictions." On the evening of August 25, Guiyang City, the first shake.

The introduction of the policy, bricks fly. The official statement: never advocated restrictions on purchasing; experts said: incomprehensible, indescribable; netizens commented: This is "interesting inside and outside." Restricted purchases were once considered to be the worst way to stop the problem. Why did they become a potent drug in Guiyang? Yesterday, Li Ang, Secretary of the Discipline Inspection Department of Guiyang City Traffic Police Detachment, accepted an interview with Voice of China. He gave this explanation:

Li Ang: There are special circumstances in different parts of the country. Guiyang is a mountain city. We limit it to only 9 square kilometers within the main city. We also have no restrictions for nine square kilometers. Guiyang is particularly small in its downtown area, but economic activities and recreational activities are basically concentrated in this area. The number plates that we have shaken out today are not restricted and can enter the main city area. No number plates outside this one can enter the main city area. In the area of ​​9 square kilometers of Guiyang's main downtown area, we conducted a mathematical model study in cooperation with Guizhou University. Its carrying capacity is 100,000 vehicles and it is now more than 600,000 units. The government announcement has made it clear that the time limit for our policy is two years.

Last resort "or lazy political thinking"

The opinions of experts differ on the number of Guiyang cars? Let's look at a set of figures: By the end of 2010, the number of motor vehicles in Guiyang was 616,000, an increase of 7.7 times from a decade ago. After all, the average annual growth rate is 23%. Among them, private cars account for more than half of the total number of motor vehicles.

As the only city currently following up on the Beijing purchase restriction policy, shouldn’t Guiyang, the western city, choose this “one dose of drastic drug”? Last night, the reporter interviewed Duan Liren, a famous professor of Chang’an University, who had participated in the formulation of the Guiyang governance block policy.

Reporter: Does Guiyang have such a policy?

Duan Liren: I didn't usually advocate buying restrictions. I particularly understand this situation in Guiyang. The city government began to respond to urban traffic congestion for several years. I have participated in some measures. The city of Guiyang has more mountains, less road resources, and the development of automobiles is also very fast. Now there are certain restrictions on the number plates, which I personally understand because we can’t walk anymore and open up road resources. It is difficult. It's not as good as stopping people to reduce the number of cars on the road. This is a last resort.

Reporter: What will happen to the industry?

Duan Liren: I think the main reason is that there are certain restrictions on cars in the central area of ​​the city. It won't have a big impact. This is normal.

"The last resort" Guiyang added such an adjective to the New Deal. This seems to be exactly the same as what was said at the end of last year when Beijing proposed a shake: "Difficult decisions." Is it really the only way to rely on luck to shake numbers?

According to Jia Xinguang, chief analyst of China Automotive Industry Consulting and Development Co., Ltd., construction, management, and regulation are three steps for Beijing to stop blocking. That is: first, infrastructure construction; second, strengthen traffic management; third, license purchase. He believes that Guiyang did not follow the order of Beijing, but rather took orders in place. This is a kind of "lazy political thinking."

Today, the Beijing car will usher in the 8th shake day. Eight months later, the number of shakes has risen to 650,000, and the number of people who won was less than 20,000. Compared to 9:1 at the beginning of the year, the current figure has become 34:1. What has Beijing brought to Beijing for the great discussion of the country? What has it brought to Beijing now? The reporter interviewed Jia Xinguang, an analyst in the automotive industry.

Jia Xinguang: Beijing's restriction on purchases for half a year is equivalent to selling nearly 300,000 vehicles less than the same period of last year. This is equivalent to 3% of national vehicle sales, and it should be said that the impact is huge. It was originally expected that the national auto market growth should be around 10%, now only 5%-6%, which means that its purchase restriction does have an impact on the national market. In addition, because Beijing's car sales have plummeted, the total retail sales will also have to be reduced by about 800 to 100 billion yuan, which will also have an impact on the overall economic development. For instance, Beijing's GDP growth rate in the first half of this year ranks last in the provinces and cities.

Domino effect who is the next city to limit purchase?

Some people now say that Beijing fell, Guiyang fell, and the domino effect was fermenting. The question is: Who is the next one? As early as May, some media broke out. Shenzhen, the country with the highest vehicle density, may adopt a vehicle purchase restriction policy, which has not been officially confirmed. On August 2, Guangzhou announced a blockage plan, emphasizing temporarily no-buy purchases and collecting traffic congestion fees.

When referring to the word "Imitating", Professor Duan Liren made a negative reply with Shanghai as an example.

Duan Liren: According to my many years of research and practice, this urban transport is a kind of culture. Culture has very obvious local characteristics and time characteristics, so whether other cities will follow suit. For example, Shanghai has used a license sale to control the growth of automobiles. It has been used for more than 10 years, but now I have not heard of a second city to follow suit.

No one wants to block the city, but no one wants to spend money to buy a car. Every city is thinking, and every city is also living in the public's attention. Actually, today is not only the beginning of the Guiyang purchase restriction attempt, but also the continuation of the Beijing Yaohao policy. At the same time, it is even more important for us to think about how to find a balance between the convenience of transportation and the development of the auto industry.

I hope the city will be even better!

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